24h momentum
Current rolling 24-hour price movement, interpreted through controlled movement conditions.
Crypto market ranking methodology
How the Swede Score works
CryptoSwede Market Radar organizes a noisy market into a disciplined attention ranking. Swede Score measures current market prominence using rolling 24-hour momentum, liquidity, range quality, condition confluence, and overextension.
It is designed to answer: Which eligible markets deserve closer inspection first? It does not claim to know what price will do next. Exact weights and thresholds remain proprietary.
Current conditions
What Swede Score measures
Swede Score is a structured 0–100 attention-ranking score. A higher score means a stronger current ranking according to the model.
Liquidity
Rolling 24-hour quote volume provides a consistent liquidity context across eligible markets.
Range quality
Rolling 24-hour high-low range helps distinguish controlled activity from unusually quiet or extreme conditions.
Condition confluence
The ranking recognizes when positive movement, usable liquidity, and controlled range conditions occur together.
Overextension
Unusually extended movement or range conditions can reduce ranking strength.
Clear boundaries
What Swede Score does not measure
Not a return forecast
A higher score does not mean a larger future price move.
Not direction prediction
The score does not reliably predict whether price will rise or fall.
Not an entry or exit signal
It does not provide personalized trade instructions or financial guidance.
Not a guarantee
Rank, conditions, and market regimes can change quickly.
Two separate concepts
Swede Score vs Risk Shield
A market can deserve attention and still carry warning conditions.
Swede Score ranks current market conditions and helps prioritize research. Risk Shield is a separate caution layer that highlights conditions associated with greater instability, overextension, adverse movement, low liquidity, or other warning flags.
Risk Shield provides context; it does not predict a loss. Historical validation found materially greater adverse movement among High Risk observations than among calmer categories.
Automated Market Notes are rule-based summaries derived from each stored snapshot. They are not generated by an AI or LLM.
Historical validation
Highly ranked markets tended to remain near the top.
The initial validation measured whether current ranking leadership persisted four hours later.
| Starting group | Observations | 4h result |
|---|---|---|
| Starting Top 5 | 10,985 | 95.67% remained Top 20 |
| Starting Top 10 | 21,958 | 93.19% remained Top 20 |
| Starting Swede Score ≥80 | 5,721 | 97.89% remained Top 20 |
| Starting Swede Score ≥90 | 3,348 | 97.76% remained Top 20 |
These statistics measure ranking persistence, not profitable trades. They do not show that price rose after a high ranking.
An honest result
What movement validation showed
Higher Swede Scores were associated with calmer, more persistent leadership—not larger future price moves.
The initial validation did not show meaningful directional forecasting. Lower-scoring, extreme markets sometimes moved much more, but also showed substantially larger adverse excursions and less stable conditions. That distinction is why CryptoSwede positions the score as an attention ranking rather than a breakout predictor.
Validation process
How validation works
Periodic snapshots
Eligible exchange markets are recorded at repeated points in time.
Future horizons
Later snapshots are compared with starting observations across defined horizons.
Persistence
Analysis measures whether leading markets remain in leading rank groups.
Movement and excursions
Absolute movement, signed movement, and favorable and adverse excursions test what the ranking does—and does not—support.
Limitations
Read the evidence in context
- The observations overlap and include repeated snapshots of the same markets; they are not independent trades.
- The initial sample covered roughly two weeks of live market history.
- These are historical observations, not trading results or proof of future performance.
- Results can change across future market regimes.
- The market universe is exchange-specific and subject to eligibility filters.
- Market-data and API interruptions can occur.
- Continuing out-of-sample validation is underway.
Ongoing research
Validation continues.
CryptoSwede continues to test and validate additional market-activity research methods. Public capability claims will remain limited to what the current product supports.
Inspect the product
See the ranking structure.
Review the sample dashboard or create a private-beta account request.